Netherlands · EredivisieSat 10 Oct · 19:00

AjaxvsNEC Nijmegen

79% confidence

Final 1–1

10/19 correct

FT Result: Home Win ✗1H Outcome: Home Win ✗Win Either Half: Home ✓Highest Half: Second Half ✗Over 1.5: Yes ✓Over 2.5: Yes ✗Draw/O2.5: Yes ✓Corners O7.5: Yes ✓1H Corners O3.5: Yes ✗Double Chance: Home/Draw ✓Clean Sheet (Home): No ✓Clean Sheet (Away): No ✓Home Corners O4.5: Yes ✗Away Corners O4.5: Yes ✗Home Goals O1.5: Yes ✗Away Goals O1.5: No ✓BTTS: Yes ✓2X & Over 1.5: No ✗Shots O22.5: Yes ✓

Outcome

FT: Home Win64%

1H: Home Win49%

Second Half50%

Win Either Half: Ajax49%

Double Chance: Home/Draw64%

Goals

O1.5 ✓92%

O2.5 ✓80%

Draw/O2.5 ✓80%

2X & O1.5 ✗64%

BTTS ✓73%

Team Goals O1.5

Ajax ✓76%

NEC Nijmegen ✗56%

Corners

O7.5 ✓68%

1H O3.5 ✓56%

Shots

O22.5 ✓67%

Team Corners O4.5

Ajax ✓56%

NEC Nijmegen ✓51%

Clean Sheet

Ajax ✗78%

NEC Nijmegen ✗94%

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Head-to-Head — last 4 meetings

Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen

21 Feb 2026

Corners 6–7

Shots 9–18

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax

20 Dec 2025

Corners 1–7

Shots 15–19

Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen

11 May 2025

Corners 8–1

Shots 22–9

NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax

1 Dec 2024

Corners 7–1

Shots 21–8

Real match data from past meetings between these two teams.

Tactical summary

Stat model (Poisson-based on current scoring form — no AI judgment involved): Ajax favored to win, over 2.5 goals expected.

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